主 题：Do Natural Disasters Lead to More Migration? Evidence from Indonesia

主讲人：谢镇荣，356体育官方网站中国人力资本与劳动经济研究中心助理教授，美国波士顿大学经济学博士。其研究方向包括环境经济学和发展经济学，其成果发表在Northeast Universities Development Consortium (NEUDC) Conference等学术会议。

时 间：2012年10月31日星期三16:00-17:30

地 点：学术会堂608

主办单位：人力资本与劳动经济研究中心

摘 要：Using panel datasets of Indonesia, I examine how natural disasters affect household migration. Specifically, the study analyzes the effects of earthquakes, volcanic eruptions and floods on household tendency to migrate. Contrary to conventional wisdom, I find that all three kinds of disasters significantly reduce migration rates. Nevertheless, the channels of impact are quite different. Earthquakes reduce earnings and non-business assets, each of which tends to reduce migration rates. Volcanic eruptions on the other hand raise the value of farmland, which, in turn, induce households to stay. Floods have no significant impacts on household assets or earnings, which can be the results from attenuation bias due to measurement errors.

[编辑]：孙颖